What Stanford’s top doctor thinks of lockdowns

 

The chairman of disease prevention at Stanford University harshly criticized statewide lockdowns as unscientific and pointless in the fight against the coronavirus.

Dr. John Ioannidis pointed out that such measures were not based on good science, saying, “There are already more than 50 studies that have presented results on how many people in different countries and locations have developed antibodies to the virus. Of course, none of these studies are perfect, but cumulatively, they provide useful composite evidence. A very crude estimate might suggest that about 150-300 million or more people have already been infected around the world, far more than the 10 million documented cases.”

Mortality rate for those under 45 non-existent

Dr. Ioannidis stressed that the mortality rate is practically non-existent for people under 45. “The death rate in a given country depends a lot on the age structure, who are the people infected, and how they are managed. For people younger than 45, the infection fatality rate is almost 0%. For 45 to 70, it is probably about 0.05%-0.3%. For those above 70, it escalates substantially.”

The pandemic hit the ISA in February, and since then at least 2.6 million people here have caught the virus and about 128,000 have died, though it is unclear how many of those had pre-existing life-threatening conditions.

Recently there has been an uptick in cases in some places in the USA and around the world. Despite this, the mortality rate is dropping. Apparently, this is because the virus has already passed through older carriers and most of the new cases involve younger people. Massachusetts reported no deaths from corona on Tuesday, the first such milestone since March.

Fauci: spike in cases due to broader testing

 

Federal health authorities argue that the increase in cases is in part due to a broader national testing regimen.

Dr. Fauci, America’s top infectious disease expert said, “If you test more, you will likely pick up more infections. Once you see that the percentage is higher, then you’ve really got to be careful — because then, you really are seeing additional infections that you weren’t seeing before.”

Back at Standford, Dr. Ioannidis argued that there is no rationale to shut down the economy again, saying “Major consequences on the economy, society, and mental health have already occurred,” he said. “I hope they are reversible, and this depends to a large extent on whether we can avoid prolonging the draconian lockdowns and manage to deal with COVID-19 in a smart, precision-risk targeted approach rather than blindly shutting down everything.”